No, they exist because they do.
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Quote from: Mandark on September 23, 2019, 01:00:02 AMyou should get better at postingThis is some cheap heat, man.
you should get better at posting
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1175586860825022465Oh god ohf uck
I'm still listening to the 538 podcasts from time to time (I think I might drop it, they're mediocre in general, and I'm not caring for their take on most things). The only real interesting part is how Nate Silver will say some BS or pulled out of his ass analysis take, and the rest of the podcast crew has to pretend that it's a smart take, or have to gently explain to Nate why his hot take was terrible.I mean, if Nate Silver wants to stop being a poll aggregator, and be a pundit, fine I guess. But then he needs to actually know what he's talking about.
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https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1176188513903095817 meanwhile on the lefthttps://twitter.com/SweeneyABC/status/1176135848045285378
Nate Silver says 'Brown people are residue!'
Fanboys in general are. Just look at the would-be socialists in this forum.
Nate got his stans from predicting Obama would beat Romney.His entire hustle was based on the fact that he called a few states that other pollsters got wrong.I don't think he has correctly predicted anything since.
Today, Cory Booker says, is an “incredible, incredible day.”He is bounding toward the veggie burger tent at the Iowa Steak Fry on Saturday afternoon, a trail of supporters weaving through thick crowds behind him, trying to keep up. He is telling anyone who asks that he’s doing “great.” “Really great,” he says. He vaults over a stack of watercoolers into the back of the tent and gets into position behind the grill, slapping on blue latex gloves. He serves a Gardein patty to another candidate, his Senate colleague Michael Bennet, and grins. “HELLO, VEGANS!” Booker shouts to no one in particular, and everybody laughs.You wouldn’t know it, but today is also the day that might bring his presidential campaign to an early, unexpected end. Around 9 a.m., a few hours before he arrived for his speech at the Iowa Steak Fry, a ritual of presidential politics in the state that kicks off the nominating process, Booker’s campaign made a stark announcement: He needed to bring in $1.7 million in 10 days, his campaign manager Addisu Demissie said, or else he would have to drop out.Without it, Demissie wrote in a memo, “we do not see a legitimate long-term path forward.”The decision to state this publicly — framed by Booker campaign officials as a show of “radical transparency,” an honest, vulnerable “call for help” when most campaigns just project strength all the time, even falsely — came both suddenly, as a shock, and slowly, as an inevitable fact.Booker, the 50-year-old New Jersey senator and former Newark mayor, talks with confidence about his team’s “slow and steady” approach to the Democratic primary. It’s “tortoise and the hare,” his aides say. It’s winning “brick by brick” — a reference to his adopted hometown, aka Brick City. There’s a sense, watching Booker’s campaign, that their strategy is also incumbent upon a moment — a fact that can create some dissonance between his public confidence and the reality that, almost eight months into his presidential bid, that moment has yet to arrive.Even on Friday, the night before his campaign’s announcement, titled “Now or Never” in a post on Medium, Booker told reporters he had no doubts about his position in the state of Iowa.“I plan on winning it,” he said at a forum in Cedar Rapids.
“This is what we decided on,” one senior official said. “Tell the world the truth.” Some worried the news would come out of nowhere, invite premature campaign obituaries, or be seen as a fundraising trick — the real-life version of the panicked emails from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, or DCCC, that have become one of the biggest jokes in politics. (See: subject lines such as “we’re BEGGING.”) As late as midnight on Friday, they were calling supporters to let them know the plan and that it wasn’t a “gimmick.”
Raising $1.7 million in 10 days would require raising more than the $1.4 million Booker raised in the 10 days after his campaign launch.
“If you don't have a real chance to win the nomination, then you should be honest with people and let them know,” Booker says.“This is not an exercise in ego for me. This is not a vanity play. I think that if you don't have a pathway to victory you shouldn't be in this race. So we're not there yet. We're still one of the best, most competitive campaigns in this election.”It’s not something you hear from other candidates in similar or worse positions, such as Bennet, Julián Castro, or Amy Klobuchar. Even some of the biggest names in this race — like Beto O’Rourke and Kamala Harris — are now facing questions about their long-term viability.“Sixteen other candidates are in the same boat as we are, and no one is talking about it,” as one adviser put it.
Why Isn't Cory Booker's Campaign Taking Off?Booker is waging the civil rights movement's last battle — to unite a racially divided country on the verge of disaster — against Donald Trump. Will enough people listen to make him the nominee?
Nate Silver was already famous in 2012 for getting Obama-McCain almost exactly right in 2008 you fucking moron
Demos is a dynamic “think-and-do” tank that powers the movement for a just, inclusive, multiracial democracy.
By this November, the leading five candidates qualify for a debate hosted by the South Carolina Libertarian party, the earliest state party to apportion its convention delegates.‘There are a few names being talked about as those who are going to be there,’ Fishman said.Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian VP nom in 1996, ‘seems to have a very well-organized campaign.’ She has not officially declared her candidacy yet, but Fishman spotted her publicly-available campaign filing on the FEC’s database, which he uses to keep track of his party’s candidates.Adam Kokesh, an online and radio personality, leads the pack in terms of donations, totaling $185,217.27 at the end of last filing period. At the top of his platform, Kokesh promises ‘a peaceful, responsible dissolution of the entire federal government.’Another likely debater, Dan Taxation Is Theft Behrman (as he is named in his filing) comes in second with just over $15,000. Behrman is critical of current Federal tax policy.Behind him, Kim Ruff, leader of the LP’s Radical Caucus, calls for such revolutionary aims as reducing ‘the executive branch to its constitutionally defined limitations’ or ending wars of aggression. (Not half bad, come to think of it.)Fishman considers others, such as former LNC vice-chair Arvin Vohra or perennial candidate Vermin Supreme, to be serious about running but says they won’t make the debate unless they file with the FEC.But what about John McAfee, the eccentric anti-virus entrepreneur and accused murderer? McAfee sought the Libertarian nomination in 2016 and had announced his intent to run again in 2020.‘As far as I know, McAfee’s not actually running. He hasn’t raised any money, doesn’t have an FEC filing. We haven’t heard anything from him,’ Fishman said. ‘Last I heard he was living in Havana. His campaign site’s telling people to join the Libertarian party, which I am very grateful for.’
She's back! Sam Seder on notice!
Quote from: Nintex on September 23, 2019, 05:32:03 PMNate got his stans from predicting Obama would beat Romney.His entire hustle was based on the fact that he called a few states that other pollsters got wrong.I don't think he has correctly predicted anything since. That said, trying to pick a Twitter fight with Nate is about as productive as trying to start an argument with an Amazon Alexa.
When Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) purchased drinks from two girls running a lemonade stand in August, she may not have been aware that her $10 purchase would be donated to a pro-life charity."Our daughters thought [Warren] was nice," Dan Michels, a Trump supporter and a father to one of the girls, told the Washington Free Beacon. "She came by and told us we should vote for her. And our daughters told us she was a nice person, but we don't align with her politically and … because she's pro-choice, we said we should donate her money to a pro-life [cause]."On August 8, Warren stopped by a lemonade stand staffed by two 11-year-old children, Sienna Michels and Audrey Billings, during a campaign bus tour across Iowa."Stopped for a quick drink at a lemonade stand in Harlan, Iowa. When life gives you lemons, make big structural change!" Warren said on Twitter.The two kids were excited about meeting a presidential candidate in person. The Michels girl urged her parents to vote for the Massachusetts senator in 2020 after the photo op. The parents instead explained Warren's stance on abortion. The girls and their parents decided to donate to the March for Life Education and Defense Fund, a non-profit that supports pro-life legislation. "My daughter told us she wanted us to vote for her," Michels said. "We talked about the abortion part of things and said maybe we should donate money to stop abortion, and my daughter was all for that."
Even if he did, what's the endgame? Rose Twitter gets to have a headcanon where Silver is biased against Sanders and possibly racist? Is that going to get Bernie above 11% in the polls?
Quote from: shosta on September 23, 2019, 04:14:32 PMEven if he did, what's the endgame? Rose Twitter gets to have a headcanon where Silver is biased against Sanders and possibly racist? Is that going to get Bernie above 11% in the polls?It's the same mentality as sports fans who yell at writers who criticize their favorite team or star. ie it's completely nuts but also super common.
you're so mad
shosta, I saw you like that Nintex post about Silver which was all lies.Shit is not gonna look good on your quarterly review.
https://twitter.com/QueenInYeIIow/status/1176327076250628096
And people really don't get that American politics have shifted so far to the right that the former centrist party has become a right wing party, while the former right wing party has become a parody?
Quote from: benjipwns on September 23, 2019, 10:32:11 PMShe's back! Sam Seder on notice!This video makes me proud to be a Libertarian.