Leaving microstate's aside, Sweden death per per population is now only behind the 6 hardest hit european countries. But in contrast to those countries the daily death numbers are seemingly still on the rise, while daily new infection numbers still seem to be limited by testing or are moving horizontally since three weeks. While the comparison isn't entirely fair (there are obviously regions in europe and the rest of the world that are off much worse) that's not looking good for now.
Still, we probably only can really judge the swedish approach when this whole thing is over. Compliance with strict measures seems to decrease rapidly in countries that have a lockdown in place after some time, especially as soon new infections decrease and some of the restrictions are lifted. I imagine lots of countries will get problems, maybe especially those that got lucky so far. So in the long term maybe the more self-responsible approach of sweden might still pay off.
