Man, the comments on r/moderatepolitics? Es muy bueno. Es delicioso.
I honestly don't understand how the difference in media reporting and actual populace views can be so wide. I know outrage sells but surely the slant has be negatively affecting the revenue they generate? Maybe I am misrepresenting the general consumer of news but alienating half the population seems like a surefire way to lose money? I really don't get it.
It's not like they stop taking in the media or go for clear partisan outlets like OANN/Newsmax/MSNBC, they continue to take in the same stuff but just are skeptical about it and complain about it. Just look at the largest media enterprises, how much of what CNN/MSNBC/Fox fills time with is something that was on one of the others or in the New York Times or whatever so they can be complain about it? It's only the crazies who determine everything in the media must be a lie and disconnect completely for fact-based sources like RealRawNews, everyone else maintains a balance in their head. Even still this is often only on certain issues that people are personally informed about and probably didn't trust the media in the first place, see: Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect.
Not sure if all these late poll swings are going to be reflected in the voting.
From what I'm seeing lots of people have already voted early and once again the GOP banks on a big turn-out on election day.
A powerful PR/marketing thing but also a big risk if the weather sucks or the voters don't show on the big day.
It seems like both parties are desperately trying to persuade the last few voters who haven't made up their mind yet to not only vote for them but also vote at all.
I doubt it. That was the old model, now there's lots of interest in turning out your own voters who don't vote regularly.
I also suspect early voters are not undecided voters but regular voters. I also have suspicions that early voters lean Democrat because they stupidly prize the importance of voting so will rush out to vote immediately and Republicans stupidly prize the importance of the formal tradition of voting on election day so will build the anticipation of their putting pen to paper in the Holy Ceremony of Democracy.
We can't really look at 2020 to detect trends because there was this other thing going on that shot up absentee voting and this dude who was telling his supporters to specifically not absentee vote because it'd let the Democrats steal the election.
Michigan prob handled the abortion thing better than any state for dems. We have a ballot proposal on whether abortion should remain legal or not. That has forced candidates to take a direct stand and it's killing Tudor Dixon, the MAGA candidate. It's also allowed Whitmer to focus more on economic issues while liberal interest groups blast republicans in TV ads. Meanwhile every vote knows Prop 3 will be on the ballot.
I see a good amount of the anti-3 signs out in front of houses, but it doesn't look like their messaging that it's EXTREME and UNCLEAR is getting through. Polling has it above 60%. Although the pro-3 side has spent almost five times as much money so maybe the voters just aren't hearing about how EXTREME and UNCLEAR it is. (Something I'll note that the anti-3 ads never say
how, base your entire campaign around the proven tactic of saying a Proposal is misleading and then totally botch the execution breh.)