Author Topic: US Politics Thread |OT| SAD TRUMP  (Read 2965408 times)

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Joe Molotov

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12180 on: December 12, 2017, 11:13:18 AM »
Why is "begging" in quotes? Why does he always do this?

Because he didn't have enough characters for a second parenthetical to really "ram" home the point that she really wanted to fuck him for money.
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seagrams hotsauce

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12181 on: December 12, 2017, 11:53:41 AM »
Fuck NYC for letting this dude get through the 80s without getting buck fiftied

shosta

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Phoenix Dark

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12183 on: December 12, 2017, 02:55:04 PM »
If we apply the Kristol Iraq Principle, Moore wins.
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Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12184 on: December 12, 2017, 03:03:55 PM »
Everything with this dude is seemingly over-compensation and narcissism.

Guy was a low level player dropping like at most the low five figures in campaign contributions most years, but he gets on the blower acting out like he was Sheldon Adelson, the guy he metaphorically just got done blowing to get his money flowing again. That he had started withholding because Trump wouldn’t deliver on Israel.

shosta

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12185 on: December 12, 2017, 03:07:40 PM »
Who are you talking about?
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Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12186 on: December 12, 2017, 03:12:50 PM »
Who are you talking about?

Trump.

Guys a walking caricature of narcissistic personality disorder. Seems there is roughly a 90% chance that whatever he comes up with to attack others, he germinated the attack because it’s what he has been doing. When he’s not golfing, watching 4-8 hours of Fox News and gorging on fast food he seemingly spends what’s left whoring for donors’ money.
« Last Edit: December 12, 2017, 03:26:30 PM by Nola »

Joe Molotov

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12187 on: December 12, 2017, 03:59:54 PM »
If we apply the Kristol Iraq Principle, Moore wins.

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Trurl

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12188 on: December 12, 2017, 06:34:30 PM »
Am I supposed to believe that Donald Trump turned down a bj?

Phoenix Dark

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12189 on: December 12, 2017, 06:44:42 PM »
Am I supposed to believe that Donald Trump turned down a bj?

From a negro? Sure.
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Madrun Badrun

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12190 on: December 12, 2017, 09:03:16 PM »
Moore going to win.
NtGay

Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12191 on: December 12, 2017, 09:12:15 PM »
Moore going to win.

Jones is going to win.

Turnout is going to be low for conservatives and Democrats are going to be mobilized. Write-in votes and abstention is going to put the nail in the coffin for Moore.


spoiler (click to show/hide)
Nothing changed in my post, I've been saying this all night. That edit marker is fake news.
[close]
« Last Edit: December 12, 2017, 10:47:02 PM by Nola »

Trurl

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12192 on: December 12, 2017, 09:25:32 PM »
Omg, omg, omg

If Jones wins Trump will go ballistic



Joe Molotov

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12195 on: December 12, 2017, 09:32:32 PM »
Can't wait for Moore to ride in to the Senate on his horse and start firing his shotgun into the air, yeeeehaw!
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shosta

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12196 on: December 12, 2017, 09:40:02 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur#eln-forecast-section

lol, how is the NYT giving Jones a 80%+ chance of winning?

from 538 blog
Quote from: Nate Silver at 9:21 PM
As the conventional wisdom — and the Upshot’s cool model — now swings slightly back toward Jones again, it’s worth remembering that making extrapolations based on partial returns is a lot harder in a state like Alabama where we aren’t used to having competitive elections. That why models like the Upshot’s have wide confidence intervals (conveying a lot of uncertainty) and why you should be cautious about getting too far ahead of the story.
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recursivelyenumerable

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12197 on: December 12, 2017, 09:41:50 PM »
new york times election meter  :jeanluc
QED

agrajag

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12198 on: December 12, 2017, 09:50:19 PM »
Lol at Reee, they're reeeeing like it's the 2016 presidential election

Stro

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12199 on: December 12, 2017, 09:52:50 PM »
Lmaoooooooooo at THE JEWS clip.

MIMIC

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12200 on: December 12, 2017, 10:02:59 PM »
Well at least Jones is close.

recursivelyenumerable

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12201 on: December 12, 2017, 10:13:47 PM »
fuck him up jones
QED

archie4208

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12202 on: December 12, 2017, 10:16:48 PM »

Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12203 on: December 12, 2017, 10:17:23 PM »
new york times election meter  :jeanluc

Wasnt the NY Times model the first one to show the Trump shift in 2016 while all the other models were still showing Hillary?

shosta

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12204 on: December 12, 2017, 10:23:02 PM »
Yes, but:
1) 538 always gave Trump a better chance (33%) and
2) "first one to show" was because NYT was way more sensitive to polling. The whole reason 538 was closer than all the others was because they (correctly) assigned more uncertainty.
每天生气

Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12205 on: December 12, 2017, 10:26:39 PM »
GET FUCKED MOORE AND TRUMP

 :bolo

MIMIC

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12206 on: December 12, 2017, 10:27:39 PM »
Going to bed soon, but hopefully the seemingly impossible was possible. An 11K lead this late in the race is pretty good.

Go, Jones.

archie4208

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12207 on: December 12, 2017, 10:27:48 PM »
Trump's Twitter rants.  :lawd

Christmas comes 13 days early.  :lawd

Boogie

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12208 on: December 12, 2017, 10:29:50 PM »
CNN projects it for Jones.

Get fucked, Moore. :punch
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MIMIC

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12209 on: December 12, 2017, 10:31:43 PM »
HOLY SHIT! HE WON! NYT REDEEMED! lol

Stoney Mason

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12210 on: December 12, 2017, 10:32:48 PM »
Republicans needed a better pedophile to pull this one out.

Mandark

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12211 on: December 12, 2017, 10:35:21 PM »
A child-molesting bigot barely lost a US Senate election, and I'm ridiculously happy.


Crushingly low expectations! :rejoice

Freyj

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12212 on: December 12, 2017, 10:42:27 PM »
I can’t believe Lee went +15.

This is so good.

FStop7

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12213 on: December 12, 2017, 10:43:23 PM »
BUT SETH RICH

Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12214 on: December 12, 2017, 10:44:00 PM »
Yes, but:
1) 538 always gave Trump a better chance (33%) and
2) "first one to show" was because NYT was way more sensitive to polling. The whole reason 538 was closer than all the others was because they (correctly) assigned more uncertainty.

I'm talking more about there election night model that adjusts the amount of actual returns with expected returns and adjusts as new data comes in. So far that has been a go-to and pretty damn reliable.

CatsCatsCats

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12215 on: December 12, 2017, 10:45:53 PM »
Roy Moore: loser

Nola

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12216 on: December 12, 2017, 10:46:25 PM »
Moore going to win.

Jones is going to win.

Turnout is going to be low for conservatives and Democrats are going to be mobilized. Write-in votes and abstention is going to put the nail in the coffin for Moore.


spoiler (click to show/hide)
Nothing changed in my post, I've been saying this all night. I promise. That edit marker is fake news, like Moore's victory.
[close]

I've been calling it all night.

I never doubted Jones and the good people of Alabama, not once.


Madrun Badrun

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12217 on: December 12, 2017, 10:46:51 PM »
OMG
NtGay

Stoney Mason

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12218 on: December 12, 2017, 10:47:46 PM »
Quote
Just 27% of white voters backed Jones, compared to 70% for Moore.

America in a nutshell

agrajag

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12219 on: December 12, 2017, 10:50:40 PM »
Thank Dougie

Freyj

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12220 on: December 12, 2017, 10:51:47 PM »
Quote
Just 27% of white voters backed Jones, compared to 70% for Moore.

America in a nutshell

I think that was the exit polls right?

Not that it changes the fact that minority voters saved the day here (as usual, but especially today).

Boogie

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12221 on: December 12, 2017, 10:53:59 PM »
USA Today editorial:

Quote
A president who would all but call Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand a whore is not fit to clean the toilets in the Barack Obama Presidential Library or to shine the shoes of George W. Bush

Gawdamn.  :whew
MMA

eleuin

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12222 on: December 12, 2017, 10:54:06 PM »
PoC coming clutch  :whew

kingv

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12223 on: December 12, 2017, 10:55:04 PM »
Quote
Just 27% of white voters backed Jones, compared to 70% for Moore.

America in a nutshell

That’s just so crazy to me.

Who are these people?

Madrun Badrun

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12224 on: December 12, 2017, 10:55:05 PM »
Triggers recount.  This going to be a story till mid Jan.   
NtGay

Stoney Mason

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12225 on: December 12, 2017, 10:55:13 PM »
I think that was the exit polls right?


yeah

seagrams hotsauce

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12226 on: December 12, 2017, 10:57:15 PM »
I know people say Steve Bannon is a cretinous racist, but you gotta admit, he also sucks at picking candidates for state elections

Stoney Mason

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12227 on: December 12, 2017, 10:57:53 PM »
Quote
Just 27% of white voters backed Jones, compared to 70% for Moore.

America in a nutshell

That’s just so crazy to me.

Who are these people?

Its not surprising if you live in deep south. elections down there have always been mandates on race/outsiders.

zomgee

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12228 on: December 12, 2017, 10:59:16 PM »
I was ready to say that the Republican Party was in trouble in 2018 if Moore won by like 5 percent.

Well well well.
rub

Phoenix Dark

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kingv

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12231 on: December 12, 2017, 11:12:26 PM »
If I were president, I would swear on the Constitution.

Fox News wouldn’t know what to say.

Madrun Badrun

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12232 on: December 12, 2017, 11:13:55 PM »
I'm really glad that the gay-hating pedophile rapist lost by a fraction of a percent.  What a good day for America.   

edit:  forgot he's also a rapist. 
NtGay

Madrun Badrun

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12233 on: December 12, 2017, 11:14:33 PM »
If I were president, I would swear on the Constitution.

Fox News wouldn’t know what to say.

Bible trumps the constitution. 
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Freyj

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Akala

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12235 on: December 12, 2017, 11:23:57 PM »
you do you Alabama, but JFC fuck white people.   :picard

Mandark

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12236 on: December 12, 2017, 11:28:14 PM »
Trump managed to endorse two losing candidates in one election, not bad.

Freyj

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12237 on: December 12, 2017, 11:31:32 PM »
Holy shit he’s calling for a recount

TakingBackSunday

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12238 on: December 12, 2017, 11:45:42 PM »
I'm really glad that the gay-hating pedophile rapist lost by a fraction of a percent.  What a good day for America.   

edit:  forgot he's also a rapist.

It’s alabama. 
püp

benjipwns

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Re: U.S. Politics Discussion Thread |OT| Okay friend let me explain something...
« Reply #12239 on: December 12, 2017, 11:53:36 PM »
If I were president, I would swear on the Constitution.

Fox News wouldn’t know what to say.
John Brennan swore in as CIA Director on one of the original copies of the Constitution a few years ago, some conservatives were upset, but most of the mockery I saw was the whole thing about the CIA Director swearing in on the Constitution considering... I think a few members of Congress have done this in the past. Amash chickened out from doing it after hinting he was going to.

Presidents used to kiss the bible after the swearing in, because that was what Washington had done, but Eisenhower didn't and no one since has. (Although Obama kissing a Bible would have been great, especially when he burst into flames immediately.)

Teddy Roosevelt and LBJ did not use a Bible, but part of that may have been related to their swearing ins coming as the President had just died. I think LBJ swore in on a semi-random Catholic book that just happened to be found on Air Force One and was the closest thing they had to a Bible. Coolidge's dad brought their family Bible which avoided it in his case. J. Q. Adams and Franklin Pierce both swore in on a book of constitutional law (actually, Pierce didn't even swear, simply affirmed he agreed), their one-term statuses probably sent that to the ashbin. (Speaking of which, Hoover said "I do" instead of "I will, so help me God." Another one-termer. Coincidence?!?)

Every President since Truman, except for Reagan and Clinton (and LBJ for obvious reasons), has sworn in the first time on two Bibles for what I assume is the same reason they sign legislation with a hundred pens because it seems one gets stored in the Senate showcase. (And the other is often a family Bible or otherwise famous one.)

Similar to the above Muslin claim:
Quote
when Keith Ellison (D-Minn.), a Muslim, was elected to Congress in 2006, he took the oath of office on a Quran.

The American Family Association went so far as to advocate for federal legislation requiring members of Congress to swear on Bibles, and then-U.S. Rep. Virgil Goode (R-Va.) asserted that Ellison’s act would empower Islamic terrorists.
...
Dennis Prager is having none of it:
Quote
Forgive me, but America should not give a hoot what Keith Ellison’s favorite book is. Insofar as a member of Congress taking an oath to serve America and uphold its values is concerned, America is interested in only one book, the Bible. If you are incapable of taking an oath on that book, don’t serve in Congress. In your personal life, we will fight for your right to prefer any other book. We will even fight for your right to publish cartoons mocking our Bible. But, Mr. Ellison, America, not you, decides on what book its public servants take their oath.
I guess at least that's a form of a bible, much like when Jewish members use their Bible which I believe has always been the case for them? I assume someone like say Joe Lieberman would have, it seems Linda Lingle used a Tanakh during her swearing in as Governor of Hawai'i, etc.

Funny enough, in the Ellison case is that the House doesn't even do individual swearing-ins, it's the entire body done at once and not on anything unless the member brought it in themselves and put it on their desk. Any individual member photos are just photo-ops taken at some point after.