What are the odds of Trump getting reelected? [Also, French Cindi]

[benjipwns]

She actually underperformed her polling in both rounds last time. And her polling in 2015-2016 was even better than it is now. They dropped off in the Yurop election too.

French parties come and go rather often. Splintering and then reforming new coalition parties. The Greens look like the ascendant force replacing old Socialist parties in much of Old Europe right now.

[Himu]

RN won the EU vote though by a marginal 1 percent against Macron. Do you mind posting that poll?

However, I don't see things continuing to go well for Le Pen.

https://www.challenges.fr/politique/marine-le-pen-reflechit-a-abandonner-la-tete-du-rn-a-l-approche-de-2022_700198

They'll need a new figurehead, which gives Macron enough time to unfuck the riot situation in France.

[Himu]

Anyways, the election is in April 2022. I'm aiming for hopefully March of that year. I'll get to experience it first hand, myself.

I think our boy vom voted for La France Insoumise :francecry

My baguettes are moist.  :'(

[benjipwns]

They "won" but they lost a seat compared to the prior election and got a worse %. And it was still well under the 25-30% that FN tends to poll around.

[Himu]

They "won" but they lost a seat compared to the prior election and got a worse %. And it was still well under the 25-30% that FN tends to poll around.

true

[benjipwns]

A fun French politics happening is that the one party literally renamed themselves The Centrists.

[benjipwns]

Oh, just remembered, Cindi, have you considered Ireland at all? Since the UK is your "preferred but" and it's literally right next to it.

[Himu]

They'll need a new figurehead, which gives Macron enough time to unfuck the riot situation in France.

maybe he can start by not trying to cut French pensions

I'm basically saying that. I'm with the French people.

[Himu]

Oh, just remembered, Cindi, have you considered Ireland at all? Since the UK is your "preferred but" and it's literally right next to it.

I really haven't. I tend to favor multicultural metropolitan hubs with lots of diversity. Ireland isn't much of a diverse place. The population is 94.3% white. TVC suggested Asian countries but similarly I'm not down for those for the same reason.

Also, unfortunately, I - for some reason - believe in France. This is utter idealization. But it happened every since High School and we studied AP American History to learn how France helped America, gave us the Statue of Liberty (and she was BLACK!) all while the whole Freedom Fries thing was happening and I agreed with France's decision. I know it's stupid, naive, and extremely romantic but I believe in France. I do not, however, believe in America. The fact that Trump has pressured Germany and France to up their NATO spending after 28-29 years of static defense budget just makes me believe in them even more. The fact there was dissent when raising the budget, when I live in an America that spends over 700 billion on it, just raises my respect further.

I have no idea where or how I got these feelings for France, but I have them in the same way many immigrants that move to America feel about America.

[bluemax]

7 pages for a major life change cindi is going to move on from within 12 months to the next major decision made during a manic episode seems a bit silly.

Cuffing season ended so the relationship thread has slowed to a crawl. This forum needs drama to subsist!

[benjipwns]

Dublin's only like 85% white!

[Himu]

[Nintex]

If Le Pen flops again Macron will lose to a conservative/republican challenger.
Maybe Sarkozy tries again.

[Himu]

Definitely won't be Fillon

Idk republicans seem to be non viable like the socdems rn. We'll see

[BisMarckie]

Oh, just remembered, Cindi, have you considered Ireland at all? Since the UK is your "preferred but" and it's literally right next to it.

I really haven't. I tend to favor multicultural metropolitan hubs with lots of diversity. Ireland isn't much of a diverse place. The population is 94.3% white. TVC suggested Asian countries but similarly I'm not down for those for the same reason.

Also, unfortunately, I - for some reason - believe in France. This is utter idealization. But it happened every since High School and we studied AP American History to learn how France helped America, gave us the Statue of Liberty (and she was BLACK!) all while the whole Freedom Fries thing was happening and I agreed with France's decision. I know it's stupid, naive, and extremely romantic but I believe in France. I do not, however, believe in America. The fact that Trump has pressured Germany and France to up their NATO spending after 28-29 years of static defense budget just makes me believe in them even more. The fact there was dissent when raising the budget, when I live in an America that spends over 700 billion on it, just raises my respect further.

I have no idea where or how I got these feelings for France, but I have them in the same way many immigrants that move to America feel about America.

Germany just learned that there are better ways of extracting money from their neighbors than staging an invasion on a radio station.

[Ghoul]

trump has the same chances of Cidi moving to france 

[Himu]

at esch just mocking American nationalism

[nachobro]

give us money to pay for medicare for all, euro peasants

[OnlyRegret]

America does end up in the world police category sometimes and people expect them to do things. Euros be like "America is not doing its job leading" any time Trump acts isolationist.
America does the brute work and the Euros profit, then act smug and innocent.

[TVC15]

I mentioned Ireland to Cindi, too. I’m not sure if I recommended it, but I at least mentioned it as a place I looked at some months back because we have an office there and the work visa situation there is apparently relatively not bad. I’m an irish american so there’s cultural attraction for me, but maybe Cindi would dig that catholicism with the crosses with all the celtic stuff on em.

I didn’t consider it very much because the weather would kill me.

[Mandark]

I love that the Amy emoji is getting so much use truly the pinnacle of this forum

You're welcome.

Thanks for Amy, ami.

[Occam]

If a recession is triggered because of coronavirus, that should greatly reduce Trump's chances in November.

Voters may also rethink this whole "medicare for all is socialism" idiocy when their lives are threatened.

See, there's a silver lining.

[Occam]

Thank you for taking the Autism Symptom Test for Adults

Please share and review these results with your medical provider. The ADDitude team has also suggested next steps and further reading below.
Your Score: 13 (Out of 88)
The higher the point total, the greater the likelihood that you show signs of autism spectrum disorder.

https://www.additudemag.com/quiz/autism-symptom-test-for-adults/

I think I'm ok, but thanks for your concern.

[nachobro]

you're not ok but also we're not too concerned

[Nintex]

If a recession is triggered because of coronavirus, that should greatly reduce Trump's chances in November.

Voters may also rethink this whole "medicare for all is socialism" idiocy when their lives are threatened.

See, there's a silver lining.

History shows that during recessions people are more likely to vote conservative.

[OnlyRegret]

It's not autism it's a case of terminal deutsche genetik

[OnlyRegret]

On all things eugenics, flicked through 23andme again.

You have higher odds of disliking cilantro

[Occam]

I read a while ago that it tastes like soap for some poor mutants, who therefore can't enjoy Thai cuisine. Sucks for them.

[BisMarckie]

I already spread my cilantro hating genes, while you losers are wasting your time eating a Tom Kha Gai.

[Dickie Dee]

Dublin's only like 85% white!

 What about the Black Irish??

[team filler]

BBC irish?