Cautiously optimistic that the situation gets under control in germany. Data is not perfect but all trends are pointing towards a serious slowdown of the growth ratio. We'll know for sure come tomorrow.
France seems like it's the next Spain/Italy, UK and the Netherlands will probably follow suit a couple days later.
Yesterday didn't trend too well for France yeah. Relative to Italy we apparently introduced lockdown earlier by a few days (IMO could have been earlier still...) so hopefully this starts helping before it gets very tough.
It's too early to tell but Italian numbers are extra horrible because Lombardy really got slammed so hard, it's like 2/3 of cases and deaths off my head. Once people are to the point of needing ventilators it's difficult to transfer them so offloading elsewhere is limited.
I don't know if they confirmed those 20 retirees dead in a French nursing home being COVID19 confirmed but that's probably extra pressure on the death toll, if and once that things spread to senior communities. Though it's not certain at this point they all appear in the statistical count. The Mayor of Bergamo (IIRC) said that through phone calls to his nearby colleagues he suspects there's a lot of excess mortality not accounted for.
A lot of people comment on Italy having more intergenerational homes and whatnot, I guess it's true to an extent but it seems a bit of a stereotype. I would imagine that like anywhere in the modern Western world, a proportion of old people live in retirement/nursing homes.
