I don't think era is making it through this year. I made a bet that it won't if Bernie doesn't get the nomination, but it seems like the pandemic has escalated everything where most of the known shitposters are getting banned, the other more limp DNC neolib shitposters are being whiny bitches in spite of having all the power so they claim they're sticking to discord, and yet it's seemingly less active than it's ever been during a global lockdown.
By the time we get to november and Trump regrettably gets re-elected (much bigger possibility than the polisphere seems to think) it might have already crashed and burned.
seems like a weird bet, what are the stipulations
like would neogaf have met the stipulations of dying? what was it a week offline cleaning and then reopen and gradual resurgence?
sites tend to not just disappear, they can implode but they always have some dedicated small user base that eventually peters out and one day you stumble across them like an internet archaeologist and say "wow there are 4 people posting in this one thread like once a week and the next most recently active topic was from 5 years ago"
I don't think cerium is shutting it down within even 5 years, he might transfer ownership at worst
now if you want to say minimum 100 people get so upset they publicly announce a splinter forum, now you're talking...as if discord wasn't already that