paging shosty to come take ur monies and rewrite the timeline if needed
If the 1200 gets approved im ready to jump into as many bets as possible
But Germany did win
:doge
I'm still afraid that he will get reelected one way or another.
The only way to ever really be free of Trumpism would be to kill him, his family, and all of his fucking idiot followers, which is like at least 27% of the country. Barring that we could give them all Texas to ruin and build a wall around it. Sorry, Austin. Sacrifices have to be made!
I'm still afraid that he will get reelected one way or another.
I'm still afraid that he will get reelected one way or another.
Yeah. Everyone was so sure he wouldn't get elected the first time around.
shut the fuck upThe influence of the media dominated by Zuckerberg, Tucker Carlson and Joe Rogan is not to be underestimated.
the last time i bet someone on this forum they refused to honor it when they decisively lost. :doge
I'm not sure if he will resign but I'm not ruling it out either.
Trump did really want to beat Clinton though, for some reason she really got on his bad side. It is just not the same with Biden.
Now he's still in the same fight with the media and politicians he was in when he strolled down the escalator to announce he was running.
I always assumed that either the media or Trump would grow tired and give up and sort of 'tolerate' the other side but that never happened.
Before he couldn't resign because of the Russia investigation, now he can't get out because of the Pandemic.
I honestly think he doesn't know what he wants. Clearly the man is only happy when he's golfing with a friend or at his clubs during the weekend.
It doesn't look like he would be very happy if he won in November, in fact he might prefer it if Biden takes over and he doesn't have to deal with this shit anymore.
But then again, this is what most thought in 2016. When Clinton would win with 99% certainty and people thought I was stupid for thinking Trump would win.
I still think it will be much closer than the polls say looking at just how viewership of Fox News increases, local races are close and more followers of Q appear.
A freak coalition of Karen's, Q's, Wank Dad followers, weird Elon Musk fans, and Barstool Sports listeners could carry him into office.
This is what the GOP must be contemplating as well, Biden isn't in the best shape either and Trump only has to carry this thing by the smallest of margins.
With Pence you would never get the voters that Trump brought to the GOP. But is getting those voters worth risking everything?
I will bet my existence here that we get four more years of Trump.
With a country full of you, its not out of the question I suppose.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
With a country full of you, its not out of the question I suppose.
Not voting for Trump or Biden, sorry.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
but polling...was right...
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
no I agree with you, that was pointed towards bdoughty for trying to slander the polling weights and analysis of 538
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
1) Let's say Biden's ~8% ahead right now.
2) The race "naturally" tightens: all the coronavirus effects are already baked in, it's a very polarized electorate, etc. Brings us down to say ~5% lead.
3) Trump has an electoral college advantage. This might have grown since 2016, since the demographic trends (rural/exurban non-college white voters trending Republican) are especially favorable for the GOP in the midwest. Cuts it down to 1-2% for Biden in the tipping point states.
4) The pandemic makes Democrats much more likely to use mail-in voting than Republicans. Mail-in votes have a higher tendency to get rejected than in-person votes and the GOP is going to be very, very aggressive in challenging them. Also many states aren't set up for mass mail voting, and require votes to be delivered by Election Day, rather than mailed by Election Day, and Trump's been undermining the USPS.
5) Voila.
Not sure I'd rather have Trump or Pence.
Same situation with Bush/Cheney back in the day.
Pence is dangerous because he'd be more focused and effective at implementing policy.
Ugh. The idea of Pence assuming the role of POTUS for even one day makes me want to hurl.
(I'm sure bdoughty has a different take but let's be honest- he believes in GOP economic policies, so)
I don't know how you can argue an possible Pence administration is more dangerous when Trump's inactions has helped caused a large number of Coronavirus deaths.
I don't know how you can argue an possible Pence administration is more dangerous when Trump's inactions has helped caused a large number of Coronavirus deaths.
QuotePence is dangerous because he'd be more focused and effective at implementing policy.
Hence my argument.
A lot of Trump's worst stuff has been rolled back. His most dangerous aspect is his base, who are galvanized the further he stays in office. SCOTUS works. Congress failing to get anything passed is... more or less how it should work considering the big picture. Trump had the worst war hawk in living memory yelling in his ear to bomb more of the middle east, and he still basically refused.
Pence is Cheney.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
A debate would be a disaster for Biden.
Also that sumg fart sniffing arrogance from Liberals. Of all places fivethirtyeight. :doge
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-bidens-polling-lead-is-different-from-clintons-in-2016/
QuotePence is dangerous because he'd be more focused and effective at implementing policy.
Hence my argument.
A lot of Trump's worst stuff has been rolled back.
I don't know how you can argue an possible Pence administration is more dangerous when Trump's inactions has helped caused a large number of Coronavirus deaths.
Pence would have had the same number of deaths but due to being skilled in policy no one would have gotten a stimulus check, either.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
Ruining the post office amid a pandemic. Luckily (or unluckily) black people like myself do not trust the post office to deliver our mail in ballots on time (I requested one for July runoff and got a letter saying my application was wrong a few days before the election day on July 14, the letter was sent on June 20 something and it was now way past the deadline to resend for corrections). Because of that experience I will now be voting irl at the booth. Via early voting of course. I went early in July and the place was empty and full of masks and sanitizer. Felt more clean than the grocery store.
Just.... why write fanfiction.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
Ruining the post office amid a pandemic. Luckily (or unluckily) black people like myself do not trust the post office to deliver our mail in ballots on time (I requested one for July runoff and got a letter saying my application was wrong a few days before the election day on July 14, the letter was sent on June 20 something and it was now way past the deadline to resend for corrections). Because of that experience I will now be voting irl at the booth. Via early voting of course. I went early in July and the place was empty and full of masks and sanitizer. Felt more clean than the grocery store.
AFAIK, if you do mail-in, you can drive it to the office of elections and drop it off there without sending it by mail.
can someone please tell me, barring a disastrous moment for Biden like the comey letter, how anyone could reasonably argue that Trump will win?
I know multiple people in GA that applied for mail in ballots for the primary and received them after the primary date (keep in mind the primary was delayed TWICE so not a very good track record, in addition to all of the past and recent history GA has with voting rights issues... yeah, I wouldn't trust it here in GA either)
Another factor is that in GA (different in every state) the only real way to know your vote has been counted on the state Sec of state's website is to do in person early voting, which is what I plan on doing.