Honestly, Wii will just sell for the sake of it. Do you realize how many people with disposable income want that thing?
Not enough. Not nearly enough. Controller gimmick aside, there's not nearly enough of an upgrade from GC-PS2-Xbox to Wii for most people to justify spending the 200-250 the Wii will cost. Wii is not going to convert the casuals the way us hardcore think it will. In Japan it might do better because it may find the PS3's price creates space for the Wii, but that will likely happen only if developers move franchises back to Wii, and that's not certain.
Wii will do Gamecube numbers I suspect. The Nintendo faithful will buy it for Mario and Zelda and the casuals will wait and see.
The price is going to matter here. For early adopters, 200 bucks for a Wii or 300 for an Xbox 360? At least with the X360 you're getting something that won't look like shit on a HDTV and stuff like Madden and WWE games.
I agree. I'm quite tired of hearing people delcare that the Wii will magically become the next DS and plummel the PS3 and Xbox 360. Not going to happen. It's not going to attract the casual gamer market who still want better graphics and new Maddens. Every casual gamer I've talked to about the Wii has two things to say:
1) The graphics are terrible! They suck
2) That there Virtual Console sounds tight
Last generation Zelda, Mario, and Metroid weren't enough to get people excited about the Gamecube. And with the Wii, why would they get excited over the same games, now with waggle control? Now I can't wait for these games or the Wii, but I'm looking at this from a business perspective. The Wii will be profitable even if it sells Gamecube numbers, and Nintendo will continue to preach to us about how the gaming industry needs to be changed.
The simple fact is that the Wii will be ahead of its time. When the Xbox 720 (which will be the market leader next gen assuming MS still makes consoles) and PS4 come out with similar technology and better graphics, Nintendo will be once again left in the dust.
