nooo way. 1:1 would be sweet...I think maybe MS could do something less cheap and "omg we need to save money" like nintendo. maybe more sensors and...dare I say it....triangulation!
Yeah, I think motion controls can be improved to the point where it isn't so much a gimmick of replacing a button press with a waggle wave, but something that actually added layers of immersion into games. I think the PS3 does have the best chance of doing this if they pair it with the PS Eye. Sony even had that concept of a controller that fit the palm of your hand. Expand on that somehow and it would be awesome.
This thing:
I mean, the only person who would really hate motion controls at all are just really lazy (Gerstmann). I hate most Wii motion control because I can do that stuff easier, better, and quicker with a button or analog stick. If it ever gets to the point where it is accurate enough to allow you to interact properly with the game, like being able to reach out and grab something but not a stupid gimmick like opening doors was in Metroid Prime 3, that would be awesome.