Sequels won't help anything,they already have their audience so they will sell about the same or underperform,talking about ltd
They might perform better in opening NPD month because more of the same people will decide to buy it new,released in different month,more days tracked,etc
Market is getting saturated with games,lots of cheap used games,huge backlogs,etc
100% sure that MS won't make the first step(but will follow),360 launched at $300-$400 and had just $100 price drop
In January Kinect bundles were about 3/5 of total 360 sales.Their price is $300-$400...
Combine that with low 360 inventory and you will see that price drop is nowhere near,maybe in November
Then they will have big "core" exclusive hits,Gears,some new Halo,Forza,probably something else too+plus tons of exclusive Kinect stuff(Japanese +Western "core" Kinect games)+Kinect mainstream games+big third party games that sell much better on xbawks(COD,Skyrim,Saints Row 3,etc),those games will probably get some timed exclusive content
xbawks will be a very tough opponent this fall,even without a price drop
we all know how casual family friendly things perform during the holidays and Kinect is like a definition of casual family friendly
One other thing,I was listening to Giant Bombcast,Jeff and Ryan were at DICE and developers said to them that Kinect can track fingers now