Oscar said something a while back that has left me thinking for a few days now. Now I'm not nearly as pessimistic about the console industry as he is, so that sentence made me think about the stuff that's been going in regards to game announcements, game sales, etc etc. What he said in particular was:
edit: the traditional gaming media *is* dying, though. that's because traditional gaming *itself* is dying.
I'm of the belief that we may be seeing a shift in what would be considered the norm of the typical console generation. The definition of the norm is this: with every new console generation, the old hardware is jettisoned and forgotten to make way for the new system. It's been the method of operation for every major console manufacturer all the way from the Magnavox Odyssey up to a few years ago with Nintendo dropping all support for the Wii in favor of its successor. What the past year is showing, however, is a change in that mentality. The way the mobile market operates has changed consumer expectations, and people aren't as willing to part with their PS3s and 360s as easily as they would have even 5 years ago. Developers themselves have adapted to this, which we're seeing with a lot of cross-gen titles coming in the future from both Japanese and Western developers. With Japanese games in particular, we're seeing games that are due to come out on the PS3, Vita, PS4 or any combination of the three. This is obviously not a good thing from the perspective of the traditional generation shift; But my thoughts on the matter, and the reason why I'm posting this, are... is that situation really such a bad thing?
If there's one major difference in the current console generation compared to the ones before it, it's that the PS3 continues to have relatively healthy sales even going into its assumed twilight years. With Japanese developers in particular, who knows how many more years of support the console will have. I'm not going to argue that Sony (and to a lesser degree, MS) planned to have this happen, I'm sure they planned on the PS4 having the typical console transiton, as shown with them having all their major development studios working on PS4 games. But as the situation progresses, is it not possible for Sony to keep all three ecosystems alive as a unified service? A lot of pubs and devs are offering either upgrade programs for last gen to Vita/PS4 versions if not outright giving them for free for having bought the PS3 version. I can picture a scenario where all three systems are kept alive: The PS4 for the diehard who want their games running/looking the best they can (on consoles), the Vita version for people who would rather play the same game on a handheld and the PS3 for people who don't want/care to upgrade to a new system immediately; kind of like how mobile currently works with new hardware coming out every year.
Now I know that a mobile comparison will never be 1:1. People buy stuff on the iOS/Google app stores for lots of different reasons. Apps released on mobile are almost always guaranteed to keep working on future versions of the ecosystem/hardware you buy it on. We're still a ways from that being a thing on consoles. Price is also a factor, but that's another argument that mobile easily wins out of due to how much more use you can get out of a phone than a dedicated game console, though in this case it'd be buying one "new" console every couple of years versus a new one every year. But what I can't see being too different is the goal of wanting people to buy an app/game on your market. I don't see why Sony/MS should be upset about a game being sold on the 360, as long as its a game that's still being sold on their own platform and not their competitor's. Whether Token Indie game sells a copy on PS4, PS3 or Vita, it's still money for both the developer and Sony. If a developer can easilly get the game running on PS3/Vita due it not being too resource intensive, why
not release it there as well instead of keeping it as PS4 exclusive? Hell, make it a digital cross-buy deal across all platforms as an extra incentive. It's risky due to not having been done before, but I could easily see the Playstation "family" adapting into the future with a branding not unlike the one iOS devices use.
I could just be off my rocker with all this. Dunno, I just think that this particular generation seems the most likely to bring about a change in the status quo. I'm in agreement that "traditional" gaming as we know it is dying... but whether it's collapsing on itself or simply adapting to the current times is someone I look forward to seeing. Felt like typing all this shit out somewhere so it might as well be here.
tl;dr - Dedicated game hardware adapting to the mobile mobel: PS4 for the most "cutting edge", Vita for portability and PS3 for those who can't afford the latest model but still want to be able to play the latest games albeit with poorer performance.
