We're at the point where Biden's lead in the EC looks way too big. You flip Trump the states Biden's behind Clinton in and it's still Biden's map to lose. That wasn't the case some months ago as shosta knows. Trump is fighting to get 200, not 270 through the margins.
2014 and 2016 were back-to-back table runs that had polls trending in favor of the GOP over the last month. Yeah, we've got two weeks to go, but the polls have been static for months, not trending in either direction. That was how it was in 2018 too until the GOP suddenly burst ahead in October in the Senate polls which matched their majority.
Right now the GOP needs two of North Carolina, Maine and/or Iowa (ideally all three) in the Senate infinitely more than they need any single state to go for Trump.