You’re ignoring the Marjorie Taylor Greenes, Paul Gosars, Lauren Boeberts, and many more who are openly bat shit insane/far right and ousting their more moderate competition in primaries across the shithole parts of this country.
Moderate candidates that impose a lockdown on you and say there is no money to revamp the water pipes whilst voting for $700 billion+ defense budgets and giving the intelligence agencies unlimited powers to read your onlyfans chats

AOC can win. She would only need a more seasoned politician as a VP. The hate boner Republican votes will easily put her over the edge.
It would be a Trumpian campaign in terms of media coverage too. "AOC calls the pope a racist old man", "AOC says she would put Putin on 'time-out'", "AOC proposes re-education camps for sexist men" and all that jazz.
I think she's too lazy to run though, it doesn't seem like she has done anything since getting elected as Jimmy Dore has often pointed out. She even votes for the things that she claims to be against.