The Republicans are gaining in nearly all the polls. Which is obvious considering the economy is the hot button issue.
I'm not sure if abortion rights (that haven't really changed in most places either) is a big enough issue for voters to offset their general dissapointment in the Democrats.
The problem for republicans is the abortion issue changes the dynamics of who will be voting. Ever since that Kansas abortion vote, women voting has gone up significantly in nearly every noteworthy primary contest. Dems matched or exceeded Biden's 2020 district numbers as well. Largely due to increases in women. I expect that to hold into election day barring some disaster.
If dems had a 20 seat edge in the house I'd put money on dems holding the house. Because it's only a 5 seat margin or something like that, republicans will win. But I'm nearly 100% confident democrats hold the senate. And more importantly they're sailing to victories in the MI and PA governor races, which bodes well for 2024.
If you told me 7 months ago that dems would hold the senate, hold MI/PA (and possibly WI) governor seats I'd be thrilled. It guarantees a shot at another Supreme Court judge before the next presidential election.
