US Politics Thread |OT| SAD TRUMP

[Assimilate]

He was "wrong"?  So giving Trump a 30% chance to win was "wrong?"

You are literally too stupid to hold a conversation about this topic.

his models were off, he even admitted it himself you lanky dumb crackhead.

He was wrong on the GOP nomination process for sure.    That's not what this conversation, which is over, is about.

you interpret my post where I say I do not believe dems have a shot in hell at getting the upper 59 seats in the house based on Nate's predictions that range between 19-59 seats and you call ME stupid? for you failing to understand what I was saying??



this is a lib for ya

 

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get off the drugs

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[Assimilate]

Assy said he was leaving in a half hour, didn't care about the thread...40 minutes later he's still arguing and insulting people

Stro, thanks. fuck lol now I'm late.


FUCKING LIBERALS see what you fuckers do

[agrajag]

The one where Mandark asked you to qualify how many seats people are saying Dems are going to pick up in your claim that "Dems will not win as many seats as people are saying," and you picked the highest possible number in Nate Silver's prediction range? Why did you do that again?

[Mandark]

Guys less polling talk.

Now I want to hear what TV shows are shitting on middle America on a regular basis. Cause I'm almost caught up on The Expanse.

[agrajag]

Remember the movie The Fly with Jeff Goldblum? The part at the end where Seth Brundle gets into the telepod and fuses with a door? I think that's what happened to Etoilet, except instead of Brundledoor, we got Assi.

[Mandark]

I kinda want to go back to the time before I started reading this thread, and live in that time.

ONE OF US, ONE OF US, ONE OF US

[kingv]

He was "wrong"?  So giving Trump a 30% chance to win was "wrong?"

You are literally too stupid to hold a conversation about this topic.

his models were off, he even admitted it himself you lanky dumb crackhead.

He gave an interview like 2 weeks ago where he said he felt good about his 2016 predictions.

He was right to. They were reasonably accurate.

[Assimilate]

He was "wrong"?  So giving Trump a 30% chance to win was "wrong?"

You are literally too stupid to hold a conversation about this topic.

his models were off, he even admitted it himself you lanky dumb crackhead.

He gave an interview like 2 weeks ago where he said he felt good about his 2016 predictions.

He was right to. They were reasonably accurate.

nobody was accurate, he was just closer than the rest.

[Mandark]

WHAT TV SHOWS

[CatsCatsCats]

Aren’t u late?

[Assimilate]

Aren’t u late?

Nah, Brazilians are always fucking late. They have't even gotten in the Uber yet so I'm waiting on calling mine

[Steve Contra]

Does the Bore have any Bill Maher fans? Who are Bill Maher fans? I'm genuinely curious about people who would willingly watch Bill Maher.

[Assimilate]

Does the Bore have any Bill Maher fans? Who are Bill Maher fans? I'm genuinely curious about people who would willingly watch Bill Maher.

So if you don't watch Bill Maher who do you watch on tv? Or on Youtube?

I've asked this question 100000x and no one here answers.

Recent libs have turned on absolutely everyone that used to be liberal on tv, and only go for the extreme mainstream now . Even a guy like Bill Maher is bashed for being too 'center' or even right on some topics.

[agrajag]

Does the Bore have any Bill Maher fans? Who are Bill Maher fans? I'm genuinely curious about people who would willingly watch Bill Maher.

Optimus

[Steve Contra]

Does the Bore have any Bill Maher fans? Who are Bill Maher fans? I'm genuinely curious about people who would willingly watch Bill Maher.

So if you don't watch Bill Maher who do you watch on tv? Or on Youtube?

I've asked this question 100000x and no one here answers.

Recent libs have turned on absolutely everyone that used to be liberal on tv, and only go for the extreme mainstream now . Even a guy like Bill Maher is bashed for being too 'center' or even right on some topics.

Bill Maher isn't funny and never has been

[Steve Contra]

WHY

[Dickie Dee]

That should tip you off to the fact that 'the libs' don't actually deny that certain traits are heritable to some degree. It's always about the conclusions societies should or shouldn't draw.

And this is why libs are hypocritical and incapable of having honest conversation which lead to disastrous social policies like the ones in this shit country where they spend just as, or not more on social welfare programs per capita as does Scandinavian countries while not getting even close to the same return . Now would ya look at that 

Libs are great with new and fresh revolutionary ideas but are terrible managers.

So you're using the success of Scandinavian lib policies as a cudgel against...liberal policies?? 

[Skullfuckers Anonymous]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JordanUhl/status/1058439421983383554

[Nintex]

This is geopolitics now

https://twitter.com/NegarMortazavi/status/1058481604266463233

https://mobile.twitter.com/JordanUhl/status/1058439421983383554

Alex Jones may be banned but you can't ban his message.
This is how he still gets to be on social media platforms.

[Mandark]

Nah, he lost close to a million daily views from Facebook and Youtube, and traffic to his site isn't close to bringing that back. He's Jason Whitlock after getting shitcanned from ESPN, only without the Fox Sports parachute.

Same shit happened with Milo. "Deplatforming will just make him more popular" but now he's irrelevant and broke.

[jakefromstatefarm]

He's Jason Whitlock after getting shitcanned from ESPN, only without the Fox Sports parachute.

[kingv]

That should tip you off to the fact that 'the libs' don't actually deny that certain traits are heritable to some degree. It's always about the conclusions societies should or shouldn't draw.

And this is why libs are hypocritical and incapable of having honest conversation which lead to disastrous social policies like the ones in this shit country where they spend just as, or not more on social welfare programs per capita as does Scandinavian countries while not getting even close to the same return . Now would ya look at that 

Libs are great with new and fresh revolutionary ideas but are terrible managers.

So you're using the success of Scandinavian lib policies as a cudgel against...liberal policies?? 

I bet he won’t respond to this.

 

Is tvc coming back now?

[kingv]

I just looked at the most recent Q drops and he’s really fallen off.

It’s basically just standard trumptard shit posts now.

[Rufus]

So you're using the success of Scandinavian lib policies as a cudgel against...liberal policies?? 

No, he's saying they don't work in Brazil because ra-... reasons. Something about the implementation. Ahem.

[Joe Molotov]

I just looked at the most recent Q drops and he’s really fallen off.

It’s basically just standard trumptard shit posts now.

Are Hillary and Obama still awaiting trial or nah?

[kingv]

Reading Q posts. It’s actually really difficult to figure out what he’s trying to say, probably by design.... but it seems like he’s no longer pushing the “mueller is actually working with Trump to investigate Obama and Hillary angle.”

It’s more like “Mueller is here to deflect blame from democrats” like a ‘traditional republican’


Too bad hungrynoob isn’t here to tell us how it all makes sense.

[benjipwns]

what tv shows do you think people are watching?

shit, what tv shows are you watching?

"Hero or Hate Crime?"

The gang goes to three professional arbitrators to decide who's the rightful owner of a lost scratch-off lottery ticket and prove whether Frank using a homophobic slur against Mac to save him from getting crushed by a piano is considered a heroic act or a hate crime.

"Time's Up for the Gang"

Due to heightened concerns over sexual harassment, misconduct, and intimidation thanks to the Me Too movement and Time's Up, The Gang is forced to go to an anti-harassment seminar so their bar can be taken off the list of worst bars for women to frequent.

"The Gang Solves the Bathroom Problem"

The Gang misses out on a Jimmy Buffett concert when they see Mac come out of the women's bathroom and get caught up in discussing issues of gender identity and public bathroom use.

[Mandark]

So the Republican candidate for governor in Georgia, who's also the secretary of state and oversees its elections, announced an investigation into alleged hacking by the state Democratic party, just a few days before the election.

Late in the 2016 campaign he accused the Department of Homeland Security of trying to "breach our firewall" which of course turned out to be bullshit. This is all on top of various efforts to restrict voting access and purge people from the rolls.

[agrajag]

Republican fuckery knows no bounds.

[Nintex]

You're leaving out half the story Mandark
https://whowhatwhy.org/2018/11/04/kemps-aggressive-gambit-to-distract-from-election-security-crisis/

[Nintex]

Interesting to see how the memes actually work
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/04/technology/jobs-not-mobs.html

[Trent Dole]

It rhymes! It's also super infuriating because the job market doing well has little if anything to do with the current admin's policies and is just a holdover from the previous admin, and of course the violent mobs hitting people with torches in cville and assaulting people in NY outnumbering peeps by 10 to 1 were not leftists.

[Nintex]

Final polls

CNN: D+13
Rasmussen: R+1

 

Markets:
https://twitter.com/L0gg0l/status/1059532608093204480

[agrajag]

Nintex the coward didn't make the bet.

[Joe Molotov]

Just browsing some of the Libertarian candidates for state office...



benji, should I vote for this man? y/n

[CatsCatsCats]

Dude will steal your cheese

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[Nintex]

Nintex the coward didn't make the bet.

Mandark made the mistake thinking that I care if any of them wins
http://www.thebore.com/forum/index.php?topic=45505.msg2525189#msg2525189

It'll be maximum fuckery whoever wins.
The choice is not D or R. The choice is getting shot in the dick or testicle.
You either get Trump blowing his own horn and Republicans rubberstamping the highway to #latestagecapitalism or a bitter political fight and gridlock over E V E R Y T H I N G .
It would be 2 years of government shutdowns and presidential veto's. You'd basically be back to square one where "Washington doesn't work and it needs an outsider!"

Now 2020 is important because that has season renewal on the line.

Does a US president ever get to govern?
Year 1: Get cabinet approved, try to unite party, get something/anything big passed no matter the cost (tax cuts/healthcare/war)
Year 2: Midterm election season
Year 3: Gridlock
Year 4: Re-election campaign

[Mandark]

Nobody said you cared.

I said you're dumb, lie constantly, and are unwilling to back up anything you've said.

[Occam]

So, how's this going to go? Trumpsters lose the house but win the senate, because on average Americans aren't exactly smart or well educated (which is precisely how the Trumpsters like it)?

[CatsCatsCats]

Results, yes, reasoning, uh

[Nintex]

So, how's this going to go? Trumpsters lose the house but win the senate, because on average Americans aren't exactly smart or well educated (which is precisely how the Trumpsters like it)?

Depends on how well the fear mongering about the Caravan has worked and how 'fired up' voters are.
Turnout seems up at least so that's a good sign for democracy overall.

Trump at this point is single-handedly driving both the Republicans and Democrats to the polls. It's kinda crazy if you think about it.
If Trump had gone golfing for a month this would've been a low key election.

[Mupepe]

Even though I voted for him I just want Beto to hurry up and lose. His supporters are insufferable, especially since so many of them are stupidly stubborn in their insistence he will win. At least Cruz is so uninspiring that even his supporters won’t talk him up anymore.

[Nintex]

Ted Cruz was first to discover the glitch in the Matrix that if no one likes you, you get elected into office.

[Great Rumbler]

oh yeah when will we see results? I want to see how Mandark's bet against no one works out 

We'll probably know by tomorrow night, unless there are a lot of really, really close races.

[Trurl]

Voting is for nerds. 🤓

[Mandark]

Last year in Virginia the total vote for the Dem candidates beat the Republican side by almost 10 percentage points, they picked up 15 additional seats, yet wound up on the wrong side of a 51-49 split after the decisive seat, ruled a tie after a recount, was settled in the Republican's favor by a literal coin toss.

So I'm basically bracing myself for that to happen on a national level tomorrow.

[Joe Molotov]

Last year in Virginia the total vote for the Dem candidates beat the Republican side by almost 10 percentage points, they picked up 15 additional seats, yet wound up on the wrong side of a 51-49 split after the decisive seat, ruled a tie after a recount, was settled in the Republican's favor by a literal coin toss.

So I'm basically bracing myself for that to happen on a national level tomorrow.

Can you write that out in the form of a two page dialogue between Donald Trump and Mitch McConnell? It might convince Nintex to take your bet.

[kingv]

Last year in Virginia the total vote for the Dem candidates beat the Republican side by almost 10 percentage points, they picked up 15 additional seats, yet wound up on the wrong side of a 51-49 split after the decisive seat, ruled a tie after a recount, was settled in the Republican's favor by a literal coin toss.

So I'm basically bracing myself for that to happen on a national level tomorrow.

Honestly, shit  seems to be shaping up strongly for the dems.

I worried a lot more a month ago than I do today. Sky high turnout is almost always a good sign for dems

[Trent Dole]

Ted Cruz was first to discover the glitch in the Matrix that if no one likes you, you get elected into office.

[agrajag]

Ezra Klein with some inspiring election day thoughts

https://twitter.com/ezraklein/status/1059553661586567168

[Himu]

Even though I voted for him I just want Beto to hurry up and lose. His supporters are insufferable, especially since so many of them are stupidly stubborn in their insistence he will win. At least Cruz is so uninspiring that even his supporters won’t talk him up anymore.

Bro I just don’t get it. He had an actual shot of winning but ran as a fucking Bay Area politician in bloody Texas. And his supporters actually think he is going to win. I read this in politico and it sums it up nicely.

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/11/04/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-texas-senate-2018-election-2221

If O’Rourke loses, Texas might remember him for being singularly positioned to break that ceiling—running in an advantageous environment, against a damaged incumbent, bringing historic resources to bear, at a moment of cultural and demographic transition in the state—and failing to capitalize.

It brings up the question if he even wants to win. The far left doesn’t like centrism but centrism wins elections and democrats need to win elections. They know they lack power but want to bet it all on dewy eyed idealism. Have you heard of the theories that Beto is deliberately losing so he can use this campaign to get momentum for a 2020 bid for president?

I voted and even campaigned for him but Beto will lose, Democrats will take these losses and rather than self examine themselves - which they didn’t do after 2016 - they’ll continue to point at Republicans for being unable to get a state seat.

At least it’ll finally over after today. Until 2020 when democrats pour millions into trying to turn Texas blue instead of focusing their efforts on the Midwest. Then they’ll lose the presidency and go,”Republican corruption is killing us!” as we all collectively bang our heads against the wall.

[Mandark]

Have you heard of the theories that Beto is deliberately losing so he can use this campaign to get momentum for a 2020 bid for president?

[Himu]

I don’t take them seriously I’m just shooting the shit with my friend. I’ll text him instead so I don’t have to suffer.

[Himu]

I mean FUCK, lots of people are thinking it. Straight from the politico article I linked:
 

Given his sudden star power and prodigious fundraising abilities, there is already considerable momentum behind the theory that O’Rourke could segue from a losing Senate candidate to a top-tier presidential contender

The idea that democrats sabotage their own elections is a fairly prevalent one among conservatives. While I don’t believe it, I don’t blame them for thinking it. The democrats really are that incompetent. You’ve got a black governor candidate that is a woman in Georgia and she’s like,”yes, you will have to turn in your guns!” And this is Georgia. They are either very smart, or very stupid. No inbetween. Given my experience with idyllic democrats, Beto supporters, the 2016 Hillary campaign I lean on stupid.

[Mandark]

[Mupepe]

yeah I don't think he's sabotaged it.  I think he earnestly thought moving further left was the right answer to energize some hidden liberal base in Texas that doesn't actually exist. 

[Propagandhim]

Meek, liberal participation-trophy culture in a nutshell

[Joe Molotov]

Wouldn't he have more cachet if he won the election? Banking on voters remembering you got beat by Ted Cruz two years ago doesn't seem like a winning strategy.

[Mandark]

Lemme throw this out there: the dude is almost certainly going to do better than every other Democratic candidate for senate or governor in Texas has done for close to three decades and has generated enough enthusiasm that people are literally sick of his supporters.

It might be possible he's run an okay campaign.

[Propagandhim]

Yeah, that's what I'd tell myself if I were going to lose to the guy whose dad killed the honorable John F Kennedy.