20 million for fiscal year.
They're being conservative.
3ds is doing better this year in sales them last year. Why? People are buying up old pokemon games. Why? Pokemon go is still the number 1 mobile game.
The impact of Pokemon Let's Go will make Tickle me elmo look like a fucking dress rehersal on G4TV
Every household in America will be lining up to buy 2
- Pokemon Let's go looks too casual for Pokemon veterans. They'll just wait for the real Pokemon next year.
- Pokemon GO was and still is free, Pokemon Let's go is 60$ + 300$ for the Switch. Mainstream consumers won't care.
No one will buy a 300$ device for a crappy game like Let's Go. That left only the people who own a Switch and find the main Pokemon games too obtuse, which narrow the success a lot.
Smash being a console seller I can see. Pokemon Let's Go ? No.
Even if Smash will end up successful, I doubt it will reach Smash U/3DS level of success. Those two versions were already "ultimate" version for people who played the awful brawl, that's the main reason people jumped on it. It had tons of content, way better gameplay than brawl, nice graphics etc. It was a huge jump of quality from Brawl. Even if that triggers Nintards a lot, Smash Ultimate looks like Smash Wii U+. The differences are only there if you are REALLY into smash and smash sales depend on a larger audience than that.
Smash 3DS sold 8 millions on a 60 millions install base. You would be a fool to think it will make millions of people buy a Switch for it.