It's going to be more than 20 days. I'm expecting a lockdown for a few months. It's going to be really hard to stop a lock down after its show that works for stopping the spread and saves lives.
They'll have to ease off after the 20 days, not because the threat will be gone, but because people can't afford to just sit on their asses forever.
Especially those in the not insignificant (at least here) portion working in restaurants, clubs, bars and such.
Besides, people are gonna get tired of singing from their windows real quick, and start to break the quarantine anyway, so you can't just say "nvm, lol, do another 2 months!".
As i said i think they'll ease up on it, it won't go back to normal on April 3rd, but i don't think they'll just keep extending it indefinitely.
Also, isn't China (at least outside of Hubei) also easing up on things already?
I guess you have to strike a balance between not killing all your old folks, and not disintegrating your already shitty economy.
