Ali would've been a better Joel than Pascal to me, he gives off the rugged guy better.
Pascal has a bit of a baby face look going, and even in Mandalorian, everytime the helmet comes off, he looks very vulnerable and non-threatening, which is the opposite of the vibe Joel should give off.
That is kind of the point in those moments, but i haven't seen him do otherwise yet.
I didn't see him in Narcos though, so maybe he'll pull it off and surprise me.
I also should add that in general the Last of Us tv show is completely pointless and will probably be a very mediocre retelling of what is a clichè ridden story already.