A lot of bitter cynicism floating around the internet that Democrats numbers are high so they can vote AGAINST Obama.
That shit is ridiculous. Given Obama's turnouts, his surprise performances in primaries in places like Iowa, and the total lack of information about a Democrats for McCain drive, this is nothing but bitter cynicism. I think some Democrats want Obama to fail so they can point and say, "See! See! I knew Obama never had a chance in the first place!" STFU.
There are many reasons why Bush won in 2004. This was the peak of the Christian conservative movement. Bush was able to successfully manage the Neocons and the Theocons. McCain is losing a lot of the former and struggling with the other. Not to mention that a lot of people voted Bush so he could see through the end of the Iraq War which in 2004, most people were starting to get skeptical but figured a 2005-2006 exit was in the cards. What does McCain have here? Nothing even remotely there that Bush had for his second term. They can't be compared.
If there is this mass movement, we would have seen something by now. People aren't very good at hiding their intentions. I'm just not convinced that there is this movement. Whatever small numbers of Democrats For McCain is probably countered by Republicans For Obama.
The public also is scared of higher tax rates because they've been turned into useful idiots to pander for the rich. Obama might give relief but the fact that some taxes are getting raised somewhere is enough for millions of Americans to start shitting their pants. They will never see Obama's side either. They had the chance in four debates, rallies, various press coverages, etc. If people are certain that Obama is a socialist, they will not give up these notions now. A lot of it still comes down to his race. He's too much of an unknown and because he runs a tight campaign, people can't find too many flaws to pick. Now the socialist angle is now vulnerable, even if it is incorrect. I expect the last few days to be nothing but drilling the idea that Obama is a pinko, in hopes of securing some of the more conservative states that may go to Obama (West Virginia, North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, and Indiana)
Trailer trash wants a message that is quick and to the point. "Obama is a commie" works better than "Well, if you take into account the new tax rates..." Too much explanation for the Pabst Blue Ribbon crowd. If you're explaining, you're losing.