To be serious because politics IS SERIOUS, I had been tracking this one like I do other countries and it was increasingly looking like the Social Democrats retaking their spot as the largest party, but the "right" alliance being able to scrounge up just enough to put them over by like two or three seats.
Way back in March-April, Venstre and the People's Party were looking like they'd alone outpoll the "left" alliance. and the right would get 54-58%. Then they both collapsed and you've had the seesawing back and forth since. Though this month the right has mostly held a tiny tiny lead.
The Alternative has sucked away some of the standard left alliance votes which has hurt the Social Liberals and Socialist People's Party and especially the Red-Green Alliance as they cannibalize themselves outside the cities. And the way the PR system works.
The Liberal Alliance (one of the most libertarian parties in Europe) is polling up at 7-8% after getting 5% last time. LIBERTARIAN MOMENT IN DENMARK.
I'm actually reading the Denmark chapter in that Scandinavia book I mentioned in the book thread and he talks to a Liberal Alliance dude he gently mocks as optimistic and crazy (because duh, restructuring the welfare state, reducing taxes from 72% to 40%? NUT JOB) because the guy thinks Denmark could be in a position to form a "centrist" liberal coalition soon around the Social Liberals, Liberal Alliance and parts of Venstre. So they can ditch the People's Parties, the Social Democrats and Socialist-Greens. Pointing to the SD's collapse in the 1990's and Venstre's revival that's led to their last few elections being like 50.2%-49.8% and similar.
Also, don't forget, the Burundian legislative election is on the 26th. They had a short-lived coup by some random military guy on May 13 while the President was in Tanzania for an hour or something.
I expect the National Council for the Defense of Democracy – Forces for the Defense of Democracy to continue to win like 70% of the vote.
Meanwhile, CANADA UPDATE, the NDP has pulled ahead in the three way tie. Getting around 31-34% vs. 26-31% for Tories and 23-28% for Liberals.