I don't know, 43% of Republicans admitting that shit's fucked and blame the current administration seems really high to me. And it's a self identification poll, so we're talking about the tried and true people who still identify as republican over 4 year of Trump.
Same with conservatives, 57% of conservative think the number of deaths is okay vs 43% is unacceptable.
You're telling me 43% of people that Trump needs to turn out is going to have to think really hard to vote for him and that says to me that he's fucked.