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I don't know if CPAC has always been this way and it just wasn't reported on. But it has been going down an interesting path the last couple years, banning all the gay groups like the Log Cabin Republicans and GOProud, altering their voting system because Ron Paul kept winning the straw polls, suppressing some groups while turning a blind eye to others in weird patterns in regards to credentials and stuff, etc.
Oh, and I remember you wondering a while back why black voters didn't threaten to defect to the GOP in order to get more leverage within the Democratic party? I think this pretty much sums it up.
Not necessarily to the GOP but I do understand it's the only "viable" alternative sadly. I just have concerns about any cleavage voting 90% or more consistently as I feel it's effectively eliminated actual representation within both parties. (And I think it's contributed to the corrupt political machines in cities that do more to harm their people than anything.) I don't know why the GOP doesn't do more outreach like that Bush Urban League speech instead you get McCain and Romney not even really bothering to address the community, it makes it far harder to seem like you aren't encouraging these openly racist views (or nativist or bigoted or) or at the least finding them relevant. (And I don't think McCain, Romney and the like are anymore directly racist than the average major party pol.)
I think there could be some value in "invading" moribund local Republican parties to wield outsized influence and avoid having to fight through entrenched Democratic machines. Like Bloomberg going Republican to avoid a primary, etc. Then that could show the state and national parties there are reason to not ignore them and put in some effort. I realize that's incredibly optimistic, "invasions" of national parties never work and sustaining local efforts are fraught with difficulties. Especially since they'll be losing general elections initially.
Libertarian circles are always plastered in debates about "we should join the GOP and work within the system like the Goldwaterites" vs. "the GOP opposes civil liberties and are religious we should join the Dems!" vs. "we should have our own pure major Libertarian Party we just need [Ron Paul/Gary Johnson/Harry Browne/Jesse Ventura/Bob Barr] for President!" vs. "ignore them all they'll come to us!" vs. "you should just vote GOP always because anything that slows down the Dems is good" vs. "voting is a scam!" vs. "Real libertarians support the American Third Position Party!" vs. "we should form issue based ad-hoc alliances!" so maybe I just come to it from that perspective, and unlike libertarians, black people are actually numerous enough to be more politically relevant than they seem to be. (I'm mostly in that last ad-hoc camp. Though I'm sure the A3P produces a quality newsletter, especially the
Kevin MacDonald articles.)
tl;dr: I have concerns about the two parties bases becoming cemented ultra majority blocs, especially along ethnic or racial lines. I consider it to probably actually reduce representation and to increase extremism. Probably will encourage violence. I have no actual solutions.
Of course, I don't understand why the War on Drugs is such a non-issue in American politics, so I'm most likely just naive. Probably what all my political science colleagues think when I don't care about their MODERN SOCIAL POLICY IMPERATIVES fetish (FAT TAXES
EXERCISE SUBSIDIES fapfapfapfapfap) considering all the mostly young minority males we're forcing into black markets, imprisoning and killing. (Not to mention what it's done to our police.)
Or they think that I'm just a stoner.
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I was talking to a urban studies/urban policy guy about some thing he had on impact of single mothers and I asked him how much he thought the war on drugs contributed to the illegitimacy/single mothers "problem" and he just rambled off like "yes, yes, that's why we need increased housing loans, more greenspaces and enterprise zones, expanded job training, after school and childcare programs and an sustainable minimum wage to restore the inner cities." I was depressed for like a week.
Why doesn't the GOP reach out to black voters?
Short, inflammatory answer: Because it's fucking racist, bro.
Longer, nuanced answer (gonna rehash a bunch of Nixonland-y stuff you're already aware of): There are a lot of white voters who, to varying degrees and in various ways, are culturally averse/suspicious/unsympathetic toward black people and who don't want to see politicians and government beholden to black interests. They've been welcome in the GOP and have had lots of their attitudes (about food stamps/welfare, the Civil War, busing, affirmative action, multiculturalism, etc.) adopted by mainstream US conservatism.
Rhetoric that makes black people feel unwelcome in the GOP tells those white voters "We're on your side, against them." Everyone calls that stuff dog whistles, but it's a bad metaphor. A dog whistle can only be comprehended by the dog, but everyone can hear the racial undertones when Rush Limbaugh talks. It's just kept nice enough that it's deniable. Cause they're not worried about offending black people (whose votes they've forsaken), they're worried about offending white people who don't want to be seen as blatantly, explicitly racist.
So pissing off black voters has been a feature, rather than a bug. Even if changing demographics mean that incentive doesn't work for the GOP at large any more, it probably does work for the individual politicians, who are trying to win primaries or get a better standing within conservative circles. Bush may have spoke to the Urban League when he was secure as the president and his party's leader, but when he was in a primary fight, he made that speech at Bob Jones University while they still had a ban on interracial dating.
So really, just basic identity politics. Can't be too nice to Ethnic Group A when shunning them is what gets you the support of Ethnic Group B.
"But their policies should benefit both groups, or at least they should believe that, so why leave votes on the table rather than broaden their base?" Cause even if Bush or a couple earnest policy advisors in the GOP really believe that their brand of pro-business policies would be good for poor black communities, their base supports those policies because
they believe they will hurt poor black communities, or at least force the lazy and undeserving to carry their fair share.
Like I said, I don't think this is really new to you. But I noticed a certain tendency among libertarians to be a bit hyper-literal and -logical in looking at things, and even when you think you've made allowances for the shenanigans of humanity... nope! The answer here is just people being dumb and tribal and cruel to each other.
Re: Strategic voting among blacks/libertarians. I think the dilemma for libertarians is more like that of American leftists back in the day (like actual commies). Libertarians don't really have a cultural identity or social institutions outside of politics, and besides being fewer they're not geographically concentrated in the same way. For that matter, your goals affect how you organize. If you're a group that's been historically marginalized, then you're going to want access and power. From the outside it may seem like getting black people elected is a shallow/unproductive goal, but for a group that's been shut out for so long?
I don't like one party systems either, but I don't know how much of that's my own bias. Surely there are tons of counties that are deep blue or deep red without serious issues of cronyism, and even in DC campaigns for mayor and council spots are pretty hotly contested, just with the action happening more in the primaries than the general, so there's definitely a big representative aspect. It's not a good sign that voters cleave on racial lines, but I think the split in party identification is much more a symptom of broading racial issues than the cause.
edit: Why isn't ending the drug war a high priority? Its only constituencies are drug users and a subset of urban policy wonks. That's not a formula for an organized and powerful lobby. Potentially sympathetic politicians are going to see a lot more downside than upside in taking it on.