New poll shows Thierry Baudet(FvD) in the lead for the Dutch parliamentary elections as well.
Thierry now has 2 seats, stands to gain 24.
However we won't have those for a long time unless...
Our government is in a tough position. One of the coalition parties demands that the government passes the climate bill to meet the paris accord or they will stop supporting the coalition and thus the cabinet has to resign triggering elections.
The party that made that threat lost half their seats in the recent election that the FvD won. All will become clear in the next 4 - 6 weeks when the government makes their decision on the climate.
The VVD(biggest party) can either:
- Move to the left significantly and get an electoral beating next election with voters moving to the FvD (VVD is supposed to be a rightwing party but they've moved left for this coalition government)
- Move to the right and lose support for their current government which triggers an early election which the FvD will certainly win but not with the margins they could if the VVD moved left
Meanwhile Antifa is calling for Thierry Baudet (leader of the FvD) to be shot. The left is panicking because Thierry is not only getting votes from Wilders(PVV) and the right but also the hard marxist left (SP).
The right is panicking also because Thierry's party is seen as 'decent' right as opposed to Wilders' 'extreme' right. In fact he's seeking advice from the former leader of the VVD and other political bigwigs.
His party seems willing to compromise and actually govern at a local level, which is something the PVV never did so they were always outcasts.
The strategy of the establishment parties completely backfired. They sorta boosted FvD in favor of the PVV. So Wilders would lose his seats to the FvD.
Wilders lost about 33% of support to the FvD already but what they didn't count on was that their parties (across the left and right) would be equally drained by this new political force.
Just imagine how much the establishment parties (especially the left) fucked up when ordinary workers voted for a guy that plays Bach, Wagner and Mozart, speaks Latin in parliament and enjoys reading books and sniffing lavender.
This is no Trump that pretends to be 'one of them', he's doing the exact opposite as a self-proclaimed intellectual.
There's also the European elections in May. Which are so close that FvD is poised to send a massive delegation to Brussels as well. And turn-out for EU elections is low and campaign efforts by the other parties minimal.