I've been listening to a bunch of 538 podcasts to get the centerist view on the race and literally everyone on the podcast about 2020 Dem primary horse trading had Biden on the top of their boards.
So yeah, they (538) think Biden in the fav.
It's probably because he's been leading in the polls all year and that's their wheelhouse more than anything*:
*except counting and weighting the value of endorsements still for some reason even as they write articles about how badly this method has failed and how both parties have moved away from superdelegate type systems
spoiler (click to show/hide)
looking at Harris and then O'Rourke and now MAYOR PETE's rise in that chart, now I hope we do this with all other 19 candidates:
edit: also just noticed that if you add up RCP's averages rounding up the .5 or greaters, it now surpasses 97 points (and there's more 0.3 candidates they don't show), it wasn't that high that long ago (as you can see in the chart, when Biden and Sanders
both go up along with everyone else) so people have started picking temporarily and stopped "other" or "not sure" which is a fun sign